Starting Pitcher Chart - May 12th
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ NOTE
1 Spencer Strider ATL at TOR R x x x 4 of his 7 outings have gone exactly 5 IP due in large part to his huge K rate running up his pitch counts
2 Gerrit Cole NYY TBR R x x x HR rate isn’t necessarily fixed w/just a 5% HR/FB that will likely at least regress to his 12% career mark if not the 16% of his last 4 yrs
3 Corbin Burnes MIL KCR R x x x 10 ER in his first 2, 7 ER since… just 26 Ks in 30.3 IP in that time, though
4 Sonny Gray MIN CHC R x x x The ERA will rise, but he’s an easy Auto Start
5 Graham Ashcraft CIN at MIA R x x x Nightmare 8 ER outing pushed ERA more in line w/his modest skills output; matchup too good not to jump back in, though
6 Chris Bassitt TOR ATL R x x x Very high BB rate (13%) since his ugly opener (9 ER), but hard to argue w/2.45 ERA & 1.08 WHIP… was drafted as a full-time starter & has re-earned that status
7 Logan Allen CLE LAA L x x x Rolling so far and while I don’t see him maintaining a 2.70 ERA, I’m happy to start him everywhere w/these skills (27% K, 7% BB)
8 Eury Pérez MIA CIN R x x x The latest elite prospect getting the call and will draw massive bids w/a great outing here
9 Drew Smyly CHC at MIN L x x x 36 pitch 1st inning stunted his last outing; still hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER since his season debut (6 ER at CIN)
10 MacKenzie Gore WSN NYM L x x x Just 5 total BB in his L3 after walking 4 in 3 of his first 4 starts… the control makes him risky every time out, but I’m riding w/him
11 Martín Pérez TEX at OAK L x x x Told y’all he’d regress… sure, it took a season-plus so I was wrong all of last yr, but still… I’ll roll w/him here
12 Kyle Bradish BAL PIT R x x x Has just been OK since the 7 ER dud, but I’m sticking with him
13 Tyler Anderson LAA at CLE L x x x Just 3 ER in his last 2 starts, but 8 BB and 10 H had him working out of many jams… in for the stream v. sputtering CLE, though
14 Matthew Boyd DET SEA L x x Now has a 15% SwStr in his L4 which has generated a 23% K rate but could deliver much more if he maintains
15 Blake Snell SDP at LAD L x x 3 or fewer ER in his L4 yielding a 3.68 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 13% K-BB in 22 IP
16 Dustin May LAD SDP R x x 6% SwStr and 10% BB rates are worse than his pre-injury levels as the .198 BABIP & 0.2 HR are hard-carrying his sparkling ratios… be careful
17 J.P. France HOU at CHW R x x Great debut and sets up w/an excellent matchup to stay hot; will see another jump in roster rate if this one is successful
18 Johan Oviedo PIT at BAL R x Needs that .341 BABIP to start coming down as he’s allowed 25 H in his L3
19 Alex Wood SFG at ARI L x That WHIP says the ERA is headed upward and that will definitely happen when his 0% HR/FB starts creeping upward; also walking 2x his normal rate which should improve
20 Adam Wainwright STL at BOS R Not enough upside to take on this tough matchup
21 Michael Kopech CHW HOU R HRs and BB off the charts making him tough to start anywhere… I’m out everywhere right now
22 Ken Waldichuk OAK TEX L Hasn’t been able to carry over skills from last yr’s MLB sample (16% K-BB, 12% SwStr) while allowing far too many homers
23 Tylor Megill NYM at WSN R Skills just haven’t been there since returning from injury after that big flourish to start 2022
24 James Paxton BOS STL L 1st MLB start since 2021; had some control issues in his 6-outing rehab — 6.23 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 10% K-BB in 22 IP
25 Marco Gonzales SEA at DET L Deep lg streamer at best but maybe not in this matchup as DET has surged vL after sitting dead last in wOBA through the first 10 days of the season
26 Ryne Nelson ARI SFG R Meager 8% SwStr really limits his upside even if and when the .331 BABIP regresses
27 Taijuan Walker PHI at COL R Absolutely not
28 Austin Gomber COL PHI L Hard to find road starts where I’m comfortable w/Gomber let alone his Coors outings
29 Trevor Kelley TBR at NYY R Josh Fleming is the primary… not interested in him or Kelley
Source: fangraphs.com
